CONCEPTUAL PRINCIPLES FOR RESEARCHING THE DEMOGRAPHIC RESILIENCE OF UKRAINIAN SOCIETY

Authors

  • Oleksandr Gladun Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6354-6180
  • Iryna Kurylo Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine
  • Dmytro Shushpanov Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine
  • Svitlana Aksyonova Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine
  • Oleksii Pozniak Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2024.04.045

Keywords:

demographic resilience, age and sex population structure, reproductive resilience, healthcare system, migration

Abstract

Theoretical and practical aspects of demographic resilience have been studied by many scientists across different countries. However, for each country, these issues require tailored analysis and adaptation to specific conditions. The purpose of this study is to determine the place of demographic resilience and its components, analyze them with adaptation to Ukraine’s particular conditions in order to form the key directions of achieving the resilience of Ukrainian society in the post-war period. The primary methods used in this research include abstract-logical, sociological, classification-analytical methods and synergistic approach. The novelty of the study lies in the development of conceptual foundations for analyzing the demographic resilience of Ukrainian society in the current context. The authors’ definition of demographic resilience is provided: it is explained as the ability to ensure the change of generations, maintain the desired demographic balance, maintain basic functions and social structures, minimizing the negative consequences of destructions and contributing to recovery. The following components of demographic resilience are proposed: reproductive resilience, resilience of age and sex population structure, family resilience, social or age group resilience, life preservation, resilience of the healthcare system, and migration resilience. The relationships between these components and economic and social resilience, education, and the realization of the “demographic dividend” are analyzed. Criteria for assessing the components of demographic resilience are proposed. Healthcare system resilience and health resilience are treated as distinct components of demographic resilience, yet they are closely interconnected. Both are integrated and influenced by various factors. The migration component is examined in the context of immigration, emigration, and the accommodation and adaptation of internally displaced persons. Demographic resilience in Ukraine has been influenced by both the COVID-19 pandemic and, more significantly, the full-scale Russian-Ukrainian war. Their effects cause the need for further quantitative assessment of the individual components of demographic resilience and the development of specific measures to strengthen it.

REFERENCES

  1. Yates, T. M., Tyrell, F. A., & Masten, A. S. (2015). Resilience Theory and the Practice of Positive Psychology From Individuals to Societies. In: Positive Psychology in Practice: Promoting Human Flourishing in Work, Health, Education, and Everyday Life. P. 773—788. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118996874.CH44
  2. Brende, В., & Sternfels, В. (2022). Resilience for sustainable, inclusive growth. McKinsey & Company. https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/risk-and-resilience/our-insights/resilience-for-sustainable-inclusive-growth#/
  3. Capdevila, P., Stott, I., Beger, M., & Salguero-Gómez, R. (2020). Towards a Comparative Framework of Demographic Resilience. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 35 (9), 776—786. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2020.05.001
  4. Demographic Resilience Programme for Europe & Central Asia (2020). UNFPA Eastern Europe & Central Asia Regional Office. https://eeca.unfpa.org/en/publications/demographicresilience-programme-europe-central-asia
  5. UNCDF: Gender Equality Strategy 2022—2025 (2023). https://www.uncdf.org/article/8413/uncdf-gender-equality-strategy-2022-2025
  6. Akbar, M., & Preston, V. (2019). Migration and resilience. Exploring the stock of knowledge. York University. https://bmrc-irmu.info.yorku.ca/files/2019/10/Immigrants-and-ResilienceWorking-Paper_Final_new7.pdf?x15611
  7. World Population Prospects 2019: Methodology of the United Nations Population Estimates and Projections (2019). United Nations. https://population.un.org/wpp/Publications/Files/WPP2019_Methodology.pdf
  8. Pyrozhkov, S. O., Bozhok, Ye. V., & Khamitov, N. V. (2021). National resilience of the country: strategy and tactics of anticipation of hybrid threats. Visn. Nac. Acad. Nauk Ukr., 8, 74—82. https://doi.org/10.15407/visn2021.08.074 [in Ukrainian].
  9. World Development Report 2021: Data for Better Lives (2021). World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2021/
  10. Aksyonova, S., & Shevchuk, P. (2024). Characteristics of Demographic Resilience of the Population in Ukraine during the Pandemic of Covid-19. Demography and Social Economy, 2 (56), 3—24. https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2024.02.003 [in Ukrainian].
  11. Saputro, G. E., Suwito, S. (2022). Economic resilience in asymmetric warfare. Jurnal Pertahanan: Media Informasi tentang Kajian dan Strategi Pertahanan yang Mengedepankan. Identity, Nasionalism dan Integrity, 8 (1), 109—117. http://dx.doi.org/10.33172/jp.v8i1.1587
  12. Strier, K. B. (2021). The limits of resilience. Primates, 62, 861—868. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10329-021-00953-3
  13. De Souza, R.-M. (2015). Demographic Resilience: Linking Population Dynamics, the Environment, and Security. The SAIS Review of International Affairs, 35(1), 17—27. https://doi.org/10.1353/sais.2015.0017
  14. Aksyonova, S., & Potikha, T. (2024). Reproductive resilience. In: Perspectives of contemporary science: theory and practice: Proceedings of VIII International Scientific and Practical Conference. Lviv. Р. 382—388. https://sci-conf.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/PERSPECTIVES-OF-CONTEMPORARY-SCIENCE-THEORY-ANDPRACTICE-16-18.09.2024.pdf [in Ukrainian].
  15. Pool, I. (2007). Demographic dividends: Determinants of development or merely windows of opportunity. Ageing Horizons, 7, 28—35.
  16. Vallin, J. (2005). The demographic window: an opportunity to be seized. Asian Population Studies, 1(2), 149—167. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441730500317170
  17. Ven, R. V. D., & Smits, J. (2011). The demographic window of opportunity: age structure and sub-national economic growth in developing countries. NICE Working Paper Series, 11—102.
  18. Bloom, D. E., Canning, D., Fink, G., & Finlay, J. E. (2009). Fertility, female labour force participation, and the demographic dividend. Journal of Economic Growth, 14, 79—101. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-009-9039-9
  19. Cummins, M. (2019). Population Dynamics and the Demographic Dividend Potential of Eastern and Southern Africa: A Primer. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3523552
  20. Bloom, D., Canning, D., & Sevilla, J. (2003). The demographic dividend: A new perspective on the economic consequences of population change. Rand Corporation. https://doi.org/10.7249/MR1274
  21. World Population to 2300 (2004). United Nations. Department of Economic and Social Affairs. New York: United Nations. 399 p.
  22. Prskawetz, A., & Sambt, J. (2014). Economic support ratios and the demographic dividend in Europe. Demographic Research, 30, 963—1010. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2014.30.34
  23. Kruk, M. E., Ling, E. J., & Bitton, A. et al. (2017). Building resilient health systems: A proposal for a resilience index. BMJ, 357. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.j2323
  24. Fridell, M., Edwin, S., von Schreeb, J., & Saulnier, D. D. (2020). Health System Resilience: What Are We Talking About? A Scoping Review Mapping Characteristics and Keywords. International Journal of Health Policy and Management, 9), 6—16. https://doi.org/10.15171/ijhpm.2019.71
  25. Zheliuk, T., Shushpanov, D., Zhukovska, A., Ostroverkhov, V., Brechko, O., & Matsyk, V. (2024). Digitalization as a Tool for Healthcare System Resilience. In: 14th International Conference on Advanced Computer Information Technologies (ACIT), Ceske Budejovice, Czech Republic. P. 427—433. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACIT62333.2024.10712616
  26. Khalil, M., Ravaghi, H., Samhouri, D., Abo, J., Ali, A. & Sakr, H. et. al. (2022). What is «hospital resilience»? A scoping review on conceptualization, operationaliza tion, and evaluation. Frontiers in public health, 10, 1009400. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.1009400
  27. Wulff, K., Donato, D., & Lurie, N. (2015). What is health resilience and how can we build it? Annual review of public health, 36, 361—374. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-publhealth031914-122829
  28. Velickovic, K., Rahm Hallberg, I., Axelsson, U. et al. (2020). Psychometric properties of the Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale (CD-RISC) in a non-clinical population in Sweden. Health and Quality of Life Outcomes, 18, 132. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12955-020-01383-3
  29. Smith, B. W., Dalen, J., Wiggins, K., Tooley, E., Christopher, P., & Bernard, J. (2008). The brief resilience scale: assessing the ability to bounce back. International journal of behavioral medicine, 15(3), 194—200. https://doi.org/10.1080/10705500802222972
  30. Resilient American Communities (2024). http://surl.li/xqxmun
  31. Pozniak, O., Havryliuk, O., & Maidanik, I. (2023). Migration Resilience: Definition of the Concept. In: Modernization of the Economy in the Context of Innovative Development of Modern Society. Materials of the reports of the participants of the All-Ukrainian scientific and practical conference (November 16-17, 2023). (exec. ed. L. M. Horbach). Lutsk: Vyacheslav Lipinski Institute of Volyn, PJSC “MAUP University”. P. 138—142 [in Ukrainian].
  32. Resilient migration. Tools for the emotional rescue of migrant children and adolescents (2017). UNICEF. ODI. https://www.unicef.org/mexico/media/4876/file/Resilient%20Migration%202020.pdf
  33. Preston, V., Shields, J. & Akbar, M. (2022). Migration and Resilience in Urban Canada: Why Social Resilience, Why Now? International Migration & Integration, 23, 1421—1441. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-021-00893-3
  34. World Bank (2022). Coping with Shocks: Migration and the Road to Resilience. South Asia Economic Focus; Fall 2022. Washington. DC: World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/38066
  35. Ukrainian Society: the Migration Dimension: National Report (2018). Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
  36. The ‘Immigration Dividend’ in a World of Demographic Turbulence (2020). Mixed Migration Centre. https://mixedmigration.org/articles/the-immigration-dividend-in-aworld-of-demographic-turbulence/
  37. Johnson, J. H., & Kenan Jr., W. R. (2019). Institute Insights: Migration Dividends: From Driving Economic Development to Creating Equitable Gains. Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise. https://kenaninstitute.unc.edu/news-media/institute-insights-migration-dividendsfrom-driving-economic-development-to-creating-equitable-gains/
  38. Pozniak, O. (2023). Migration dividends: research experience and Ukrainian realities. In: Modern trends of socio-economic transformations and intellectualization of society in conditions of sustainable development: proceedings of the 2nd International Scientific and Practical Conference, Zaporizhzhia, November 10, 2023. Zaporizhzhia: NU “Zaporizhzhia Polytechnic”. P. 300—302. https://zp.edu.ua/uploads/dept_s&r/2023/conf/1.7/STSEPtaIS_2023_proc.pdf [in Ukrainian].
  39. Libanova, E. M., Pozniak, O. V., & Tsymbal, O. I. (2022). Scale and Consequences of Forced Migration of the Population of Ukraine as a Result of Armed Aggression of the Russian Federation. Demography and Social Economy, 2 (48), 37—57. https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2022.02.037 [in Ukrainian].
  40. Maidanik, І. (2023). Remittances in Ukraine During the Full-Scale War. Demography and Social Economy, 3 (53), 18—32. https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2023.03.018 [in Ukrainian].
  41. Tuccio, M., & Wahba, J. (2020). Social Remittances. GLO Discussion Paper, No. 609. Global Labor Organization (GLO). Essen. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/222445/1/GLO-DP-0609.pdf. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57365-6_112-1
  42. Stepanova, O. V. (2012). Accumulation of social capital in the system of integration of migrants. Efektyvna ekonomika, 2. http://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/?op=1&z=960 [in Ukrainian].

Author Biographies

Oleksandr Gladun, Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine

Dr. Sc. (Еconomics), Senior Researcher,
Corresponding Member of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine,
Deputy Director

Iryna Kurylo, Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine

Dr. Sc. (Economics), Prof

Dmytro Shushpanov, Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine

Dr. Sc. (Economics), Prof., Head of the Department

Svitlana Aksyonova, Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine

PhD (Economics), Leading scientific worker

Oleksii Pozniak, Institute for Demography and Life Quality Problems of the NAS of Ukraine

PhD (Economics), Senior Research Fellow, Head of Sector

Published

2024-12-23

How to Cite

Гладун, О., Курило, І., Шушпанов, Д., Аксьонова, С., & Позняк, О. (2024). CONCEPTUAL PRINCIPLES FOR RESEARCHING THE DEMOGRAPHIC RESILIENCE OF UKRAINIAN SOCIETY. Demography and Social Economy, 58(4), 45–64. https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2024.04.045

Issue

Section

Theoretical issues of demography

Most read articles by the same author(s)

1 2 3 > >>