№3 (41) 2020
Demography and social economy, 2020, 3(41):17-36
doi: https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2020.03.017
UDC 314-043.92 (477-25)
JEL Classifi cation: J14
I.O. Kurylo,
Dr. Sc. (Economics), Prof.
Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social
Studies of the NAS of Ukraine
01032, Ukraine, Kyiv, Вlvd Taras Shevchenko, 60
E-mail: iryna.kurilo2017@gmail.com
ORCID 0000-0002-5082-2024
DEMOGRAPHIC AGING IN THE CAPITAL
OF UKRAINE, ITS FEATURES AND MODERN CHALLENGES
Section: SOCIO
-DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES
AND DEVELOPMENT OF MODERN MEGAPOLISES
Language: Ukrainian
Abstract:
Th e purpose of this work is to conduct in-depth comprehensive analysis of the characteristics
of demographic aging in the city of Kyiv, to identify its distinctive features and the specifics
of the issues caused by this process. Demographic aging in the capital is analyzed in a comparative context - against the background of the urban population of the country (excluding
the population of Kyiv) and in comparison with the urban population of the adjacent Kyiv
region. Demographic aging is investigated with such methods of estimation which haven’t
been used in studies of these territorial objects yet. As it’s shown by traditional indicators
of aging, the population of Kyiv is estimated now to be younger than the urban population
of Ukraine (without Kyiv), but somewhat older than the urban population of the Kyiv region.
Over the past fi ve years, the aging process has accelerated in the capital and the surrounding
region. Also the proportion of the oldest among the elderly has increased. Abovementio-
ned were caused by both some improvement in the survival and the infl uence of the “de-
mographic wave”. Due to the survival advantages in Kyiv, the prospective age for its population is higher. So the indicator of aging by prospective age and prospective old age dependency ratio show that the population of Kyiv is younger than the urban population of the
country (excluding Kyiv) as well as the population of Kyiv region. Th e capital has relatively
better demoeconomic conditions for social-economic development and for the potential
support of elderly by the active population. Th e demographic aging in the city will progress
rapidly in the future. Th is inference made using the model of the stable population and calculations on the medium-term demographic forecast for Kyiv. Capital city due to its specific role and functions is stated to have increased needs for the development of medical care (especially highly specialized) and various social services adressed to the elderly. Author identifies the specific risks for the elderly in the big city due to the COVID-19 epidemic and the
corresponding challenges for the health and social care system. Also paper deals with the
imperatives for restructuring the urban space to achieve sanitation norms, ensure the avai-
lability of everyday infrastructure for people of all ages and generally comfortable living conditions for elderly in big city.
Key words:
demographic aging in the capital cities, mean age, index of ageing, prospective
age, aging by prospective age, prospective old-age dependency ratio, consequences and challenges of demographic aging, policy for adaptation of the big city to demographic aging.
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