¹1 (26) 2016
Demography and social economy, 2016, 1(26):80-92
doi: https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2016.01.080
Levchuk N.M.
Dr. (Economics), Senior Researcher,
Ptoukha Institute for Demography and Social Studies
of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
01032, Kyiv, Taras Shevchenko Blvd., 60
E-mail: levchuk.nata@gmail.com
LONG-TERM TRENDS IN PERIOD AND COHORT LIFE EXPECTANCIES IN UKRAINE
Section: DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEMS
Language: Ukrainian
Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate and to compare long-term trends of the period and cohort life expectancies
in Ukraine for the period from 1850 to 2013 and for the cohorts born from 1850 to 1923. We found that
the cohort life expectancy in Ukraine lagged behind the period life expectancy. There is also a divergence in the
dynamics of cohort and period life expectancies between men and women. For women, both period and cohort
life expectancies have increased over time and across cohorts although cohort life expectancy increased more
slowly than its period counterpart. However, the results indicated a long-term stagnation in male cohort longevity.
The cohort life expectancy over 70 years of successive birth cohorts of males in Ukraine was fairly stable at
a very low level: around 30 years. Male cohort life expectancy is substantially lower than corresponding period
life expectancy. The cohorts born in 1917–1921 were the most disadvantaged in terms of survival and had the
lowest life span. In particular, the cohort life expectancy for men born in 1917 was just 17.9 year. This study
revealed that stagnation in male cohort life expectancy was most likely associated with the reduction of the cohort
life time at the age from 15 to 49 due to a series of catastrophes that took place during the first half of the 20th
century. We conclude that the differences between Ukraine and the Western countries are more pronounced for
cohort life expectancy than for period life expectancy.
Key words: mortality, cohort, real and synthetic cohorts, period and cohort life expectancies, population,
Ukraine.
References:
1. Shkolnikov, V.M. (2012). Chapter 7. Health Crises and Cohort Mortality. Mortality and causes of death
in 20th-century Ukraine. Demographic Research Monographs. Mesle, F., Vallin, J. (Ed.);. Springer.
2. Wilmoth, J.R. (2005). On the relationship between period and cohort mortality. Demographic Research,
Vol. 13, 11, 231-280 [in English]. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2005.13.11
3. Reher, D.S. (2011). Economic and social implications of the demographic transition. Demographic
transition and its consequences. Ronald, D. Lee, David, S. Reher (Ed.). Vol. 37, 11-33 [in English]. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00376.x
4. Romaniuk, A., Gladun, O. (2015). Demographic trends in Ukraine: past, present and future. Population
and Development Review, Vol. 41, 2, 315-337 [in English].
5. Rudnytskyi, O., Levchuk, N., Wolowyna, O., Shevchuk, P., & Kovbasuik, A. (2015). Demography of
a man-made human catastrophe: The case of massive famine in Ukraine 1932-1933. Canadian Studies
in Population, Vol. 42, 1-2, 53-81 [in English]. https://doi.org/10.25336/P6FC7G
6. Vishvevsky, A.G. (2014). Smertnost v Rossii : nesostoyavshayasia vtoraya epidemiologicheskaia revolutsia
[Mortality in Russia : the second epidemiologic revolution that never was]. Demohrafycheskoe obozrenye
- Demographic Review, 4, 5-40 [in Russian].
7. Andreev, E.M. (1972). O svyasi realnogo i gipoteticheskogo pokolenii [On the link between real and
synthetic cohorts]. Modeli demographicheskikh svyasei - Models demographic relations. (ð. 14-39). Ì. :
Statistika [in Russian].
8. Shkolnikov, V.M., Jdanov, D.A., Andreev, E.M., & Vaupel, J.W. (2011) Steep increase in best-practice
cohort life expectancy. Population and Development Review, 37 (3), 419-434 [in English].
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00428.x
» pdf