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2 (22) 2014

Demography and social economy, 2014, 2(22):68-77
doi: https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2014.02.068

PhD in Economics, Associate of professor, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv

Section: Demographic processes
Language: English
Abstract: This paper presents a statistical analysis of recent changes of morality and survival regime of Ukrainian population. Scenarios of short-term forecasts the survival parameters of Ukrainian population have been carried out. The results of statistical modeling allow to estimate the character of possible changes of population structure and also to correct strategy of state demographic policy.
Key words: probability of survival, trend of mortality, hypothetical population.
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