Demography and social economy, 2010, 1(13):15-19
doi: https://doi.org/10.15407/dse2010.01.015

RAKOV A.A.
Dealing with the Present and Future Fertility
Section: Fertility in Ukraine in Breaking the XXI Century: Structural Features, Perspectives, New Social Challenges
Language: Russian
Abstract: The article argues the necessity of hierarchically differentiated consideration of diverse by significance and nature groups of factors which influence on fertility. Such approach is the condition for correct understanding the mechanism of the social and economic impact on fertility and prerequisite for development of effective population policy. The main direction of forecasting calculations must be carefully and logically thought-out sampling and instrument that would allow the analyst to uncover latent tendencies, the logic of the demographic transition. Using scientifically adjusted tools demographers could provide a reasonable forecast.
Key words: childbearing, fertility, fertility determinants, social and economic factors, the conceptual approaches.
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